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标题: 中国眼看就要崩溃了,而且要被日本重新占领 [打印本页]

作者: whisper    时间: 2009-4-30 09:29     标题: 中国眼看就要崩溃了,而且要被日本重新占领

http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/article/237940/%22Split-Down-the-Middle%22-Why-China-Won't-Dominate-the-21st-Century?tickers=FXI,EPP,PAF,GCH,PGJ,EWJ,EEMNEXT%20100%20YEARS
China's astronomical growth is one of the great economic and geopolitical stories of the modern era. But it's also coming to an end, says George Friedman, founder of STRATFOR and author of The Next 100 Years.
"China has had extraordinary growth for 30 years - the probability it will do it for 60 years is statistical negligible," he says.
Friedman predicts China will fragment in the coming century and be overshadowed (again) by Japan as the region's dominant power.
The critical issue - something that's lost on most Westerners who visit or invest in the country, he says - is that China is "split right down the middle" between its booming, modern Eastern seaboard and extremely poor rural heartland.
"Beijing is trying to balance - in a very ancient way - between one region that's lost its bearings in China vs. the rest of China that's bitterly poor and extremely angry," Friedman says. "It's difficult to see how a coastal region that has more in common with Los Angeles is going to be held together with 1.1 billion [people] living barely above poverty."
The ruling Communist Party may be able to suppress rebellion and maintain its power, he says. But it won't be able to prevent these internal divisions or from other nations, including Western powers and Japan, from making inroads into China.
This will have profound implications for investors who are betting big on China, as well as for U.S. interests in the region, as we discuss in more detail in a forthcoming segment.
作者: whisper    时间: 2009-4-30 09:31

待我们来google翻译一下,google竟然直接把china翻译成“我国”而不是“中国”,这个算法不知道怎么搞的。
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   我国天文增长是一个巨大的经济和地缘政治的故事,现代的时代。但也即将结束,乔治弗里德曼说,创始人STRATFOR作者在未来100年。
“中国非凡的经济增长已经30年-的概率将做到这一点, 60年来的统计微不足道, ”他说。

弗里德曼预测,我国将片段在未来的世纪和黯然失色(再次)由日本作为该地区的主导力量。

关键的问题-这失去大多数西方人谁访问或投资于该国,他说-是,我国是“分裂有权从中间”的蓬勃发展,现代的东部沿海地区和极其贫困的农村腹地。

“北京正试图平衡-在一个非常古老的方式-一个区域之间的失去了其在中国轴承与其他中说,严重的贫困和极其愤怒, ”弗里德曼说。 “这是很难看到的沿海区域,更多的共同点与洛杉矶将一并举行11亿[人民]生活略高于贫困。 ”

共产党可以制止叛乱和维持其权力,他说。但是,将不能够防止这些内部分裂,或从其他国家,包括西方列强和日本,从决策进军中国。

这将产生深刻的影响投资者谁是大对我国投注,以及为美国在该地区的利益,因为我们更详细地讨论了即将举行的会议。




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